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No Increase in Suicide Rates Following Trump’s 2024 Election Victory

Menna Abd Elrazek Menna Abd Elrazek
News
14th November 2024
No Increase in Suicide Rates Following Trump’s 2024 Election Victory
Suicide rates did not surge after Trump won the elections (X)

The Claim

Suicide rates have surged since Donald Trump, the republican candidate, won the U.S. 2024 elections on 5 of November. 

Emerging story

Numerous posts have been circulating on social media claiming that suicide rates have surged since Donald Trump, the republican candidate, won the U.S. 2024 elections on 5 of November. 

An account on X named “The Patriot Voice” shared a screenshot from The Suicide prevention (SUPRE) - World Health Organization (WHO) saying that “2,038 suicides have been reported today after Donald Trump election victory.”

He added “The Mainstream Media should be held liable for every single one of these, for manipulating the emotions of already broken people, and furthering mental illness.”

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Misbar’s Analysis

Misbar investigated the viral claims and found the claim to be fake.

After conducting a thorough search, Misbar’s team found that there are no reliable reports from media outlets or health institutions regarding an unusually high number of suicide after Trump won the elections.

WHO Did Not Report Daily Suicide Rates

The World Health Organization’s Suicide Prevention page reports that over 720,000 people die by suicide each year. However, its most recent data is from 2019, not 2024, and it does not report the daily count of suicide. The latest edition of the 'Suicide Worldwide' report was published in 2019.

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A screen shot from WHO website

The most recent information on self-inflicted injury deaths in the United States is from 2021 and can be found in the World Health Organization's Mortality Database that was in 21, February 2024. 

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A screenshot from WHO Mortality Database

The most recent suicide statistics from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) are from May 2024, with provisional data available for March 2024, showing 3,665 suicide cases.

In 2022, over 49,000 people died by suicide, on average of 135 suicide deaths every day, equating to one death every 11 minutes.

According to the CDC, provisional data is based on death certificate information that has been received but not yet fully reviewed by the CDC's National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). This early data provides an estimate of deaths before the final statistics are released.

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A screenshot from CDC data

Another social media post retrieved the statistics from the World Meter website. World meter ascribed this purported data to an unlocatable WHO page. For this data, neither location nor demographic was mentioned.

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A screenshot from the World Meter Website
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Trump Returns to the White House

Donald Trump was elected as the 47th president of the United States. To win the presidency, Trump needed to receive 270 electoral votes. He was on course to win the popular vote after winning five of the seven battleground states. 
His Democratic rival,  former Vice President Kamala Harris asked the nation's grieving citizens to "not despair" but to continue to be active and watchful in the struggle to defend American democracy. 

Harris addressed the young people gathered in front of Frederick Douglass Memorial Hall on campus last Wednesday. "I would frequently say during the campaign, When we fight, we win. The problem is that the battle can take a long time at times. We won't lose because of that," she stated.

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A screen shot from AP

Many of Harris's tearful supporters told the Guardian that they had come to say goodbye to Harris's historic campaign and to a presidential candidate they had hoped would finally break the country's "highest, hardest" glass barrier.

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Misbar’s Classification

Fake

Misbar’s Sources

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